Challenges in India’s neighbourhood:
·
India’s neighbourhood is a complex one.
·
Largest region in the world by Population.
·
It is one of the least integrated regions with
tremendous deficits in terms of infrastructure, connectivity, and
interdependence.
·
Also, this region is now being exposed to
various geopolitical competition dynamics because of rise of China and
increasing US influence in the region.
As far as Chinese influence in the region is concerned India
is faced mainly three challenges:
1. COVID - 19 Pandemic
2. Growing competition for influence in South Asia, and
3. Chinese aggression along the Line of Actual Control (LAC)
COVID - 19 and the competition for influence –
·
Because of the COVID 19 crisis both India and
China have competed to increase their influence in the region through the
relief efforts.
·
Indian efforts - Even after being one of
the worst hit countries by the Pandemic, India because of its inherent strength
in the Pharma sector and its influence in South Asia has effectively used this
crisis to provide relief in the region.
·
India is one of the world’s leading producers
of pharmaceutical drugs and vaccines.
·
Prime Minister held a special virtual summit of
eight SAARC nations and proposed a COVID-19 package.
·
Out of which India provided about half of the $20
million funding for relief.
·
India’s military ran a series of missions to
SAARC countries and the Indian Ocean Region (IOR) with supplies of food and
medicines.
·
India’s ‘Vande Bharat’ mission flew home
nationals from neighbouring countries, along with lakhs of Indians who had been
stranded during the lockdown.
Chinese efforts:
·
China promised to provide the Chinese-made Sinovac
vaccine to SAARC countries including Pakistan, Afghanistan, Nepal,
Bangladesh and Sri Lanka.
·
China provided PPE kits and medical equipment to
South Asian countries.
·
All the SAARC countries are part of the Chinese
BRI Project except India and Bhutan.
·
And majority of these countries are under
Chinese debt.
·
As such China has started to provide partial
debt waivers to the Maldives and Sri Lanka.
·
It also extended a massive $1.4-billion Line
of Credit to Pakistan.
Recent upheavals impacting the regional ties:
Increasing Chinese assertiveness –
·
Chinese aggression along the LAC in the
Ladakh region led to the death of 20 Indian soldiers in the Galwan valley.
·
China also laid claim to Bhutan’s Sakteng
natural reserves.
·
China has also annexed around 150 hectares of
land along the Nepal border.
·
A new defence pact has been signed
between China and Pakistan.
·
And there has been a sharp rise in ceasefire violations
along the Line of Control (LoC) with Pakistan.
·
Rising Chinese aggression and the growing
bonhomie between China and Pakistan both in economic and military areas, point
towards the possibility of two front war.
Other events:
·
India has witnessed border issues with Nepal along
the Kalapani.
·
Nepal has amended its constitution to include
the disputed territory within its Political map.
SAARC has taken a backseat in India's regional pursuits –
·
It is said that the format of SAARC is outdated
and does not serve the complex, fluid regional cooperation agenda any longer.
This is mainly because India has refused to attend the SAARC meeting in
Pakistan over terrorism issue.
·
Further Pakistan is pursuing its regional
connectivity goals exclusively with China in the form of CPEC.
·
While India which does not align itself with
Chinese OBOR has started focussing on the Indian Ocean region. This has led to
a split of the subcontinent between India and Pakistan which has effectively stagnated
the SAARC.
·
India has revived BIMSTEC (Bay of Bengal
Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation) and
worked in the BBIN (Bangladesh Bhutan-India-Nepal) quadrilateral for a
framework on motor vehicle and water governance.
·
However, India should understand that India's neighbouring
countries other than Pakistan have shown interest in the working of the SAARC.
India’s response to the challenges:
·
India has been pushing forward its Neighbourhood
first Policy and the SAGAR (Security and Growth for All in the Region)
strategy to handle these recent challenges.
Infrastructure
·
India has stepped up the delivery of
Infrastructure in the region.
·
Completion of railway lines to Bangladesh and
Nepal, riverine projects, ferry service to the Maldives, identifying other
services to Sri Lanka and IOR islands.
·
India has provided line of credit to the tune
of $ 400 million to Maldives.
Welcoming entry of other powers to counter China
·
India has welcomed the U.S.’s new military
dialogue with the Maldives.
·
America’s Millennium Challenge Corporation’s
(MCC) projects in Afghanistan, Bhutan, Sri Lanka, Nepal and Bangladesh.
·
The Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) is an
innovative and independent U.S. foreign assistance agency that is helping lead
the fight against global poverty. MCC forms partnerships with developing countries
who are committed to good governance, economic freedom and investing in their
citizens.
Diplomatic efforts:
·
India has stepped up the collaboration in the Quadrilateral
security Dialogue.
·
Malabar naval exercise has been expanded
to include Australia.
Way forward:
·
India's engagement with our neighbouring
countries should not be episodic. It should not be event oriented; it should be
process-oriented. India needs to have a plan for continuous engagement at
various levels.
·
India has realised that there is a need for
greater connectivity and integration in the region, especially because of
the increasing Chinese influence in its neighbourhood.
·
Further to check the growing Chinese influence
in the neighbourhood, India should focus on creating interdependence in the
region with the aim of extracting strategic leverage.
·
We know that India has taken over various connectivity
initiatives, in terms of energy, interdependence, infrastructural connectivity,
grants
and loans.
·
However, it is being said that these
connectivity initiatives will be meaningless if there is lack of economic
integration and easy movement of people
and capital.
·
India should not be averse to the idea of
cooperation in the subcontinent by the way of SAARC.
·
Also, if India moves away from SAARC it is quite
possible that China can be invited to this forum. This will make things even
more difficult for India.
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